SEXY MACRO
Global Macroeconomics & Financial Markets, Stripped Bare
January 26, 2026
Global Economics, No Jargon
Global Macroeconomics & Financial Markets, Stripped Bare
Level 02: Observer • sexymacro.com
United States
China
Japan
United Kingdom
Germany
France
Canada
European Union
Today's Story
Japan raises rates for first time in 17 years, signaling the end of free money era
Biggest Movers
China stocks down 8% as property crisis deepens • US stocks rally on earnings strength
The Connection
Strong dollar is squeezing emerging markets while boosting US importers—winners and losers explained
G7 + China Dashboard
🇺🇸
United States
Economic Weather
Sunny
Macroeconomic
GDP Growth
2.4% ↗
(has been rising)
Inflation (CPI)
2.8% ↘
(has been falling)
Unemployment
3.7% →
(stable)
Federal Reserve Rate
4.5% →
(held steady)
Markets
S&P 500
+12% YTD ↗
(has been rising)
10-Year Treasury
4.2% ↗
(has been rising)
US Dollar Index
+3% YTD ↗
(has been strengthening)
The Naked Truth: The US economy is performing well—growing at 2.4% while inflation cools from its peak. The Fed holds rates at 4.5% because inflation at 2.8% is still above their 2% target. This keeps your mortgage rates elevated. Strong growth pushed stocks up 12%, but high bond yields show investors expect rates to stay "higher for longer."
🇨🇳
China
Economic Weather
Stormy
Macroeconomic
GDP Growth
4.8% ↘
(has been slowing)
Inflation (CPI)
0.2% ↗
(barely rising)
Unemployment
5.1% ↘
(youth 14.6%)
Policy Rate
2.5% →
(held steady)
Markets
Shanghai Composite
-8% YTD ↘
(has been falling)
10-Year Bond
2.3% ↘
(has been falling)
Yuan vs USD
-2% YTD ↘
(has been weakening)
The Naked Truth: China's slowing as the property crash deepens and consumers stay cautious. Very low inflation signals weak demand. Beijing's rolling out stimulus, but markets are skeptical—stocks down 8%. When Chinese consumers pull back, Apple and luxury brands feel it globally.
🇯🇵
Japan
Economic Weather
Sunny
Macroeconomic
GDP Growth
1.2% ↗
(improving)
Inflation (CPI)
2.6% ↗
(rising, finally)
Unemployment
2.4% →
(stable, very low)
Bank of Japan Rate
0.25% ↗
(just raised!)
Markets
Nikkei 225
+5% YTD ↗
(has been rising)
10-Year JGB
1.1% ↗
(has been rising)
Yen vs USD
+4% YTD ↗
(strengthening)
The Naked Truth: Japan just ended 17 years of near-zero rates. The economy's finally healthy enough for normal borrowing costs. Inflation at 2.6% is the highest in decades. Yen up 4% helps Japanese shoppers but hurts Toyota's exports. Less ultra-cheap Japanese money flowing into global assets now.
🇩🇪
Germany
Economic Weather
Stormy
Macroeconomic
GDP Growth
0.3% →
(stagnant)
Inflation (CPI)
2.2% ↘
(cooling)
Unemployment
3.1% ↗
(rising)
ECB Rate
3.0% ↘
(being cut)
Markets
DAX
+2% YTD ↗
(modest gains)
10-Year Bund
2.5% ↘
(falling)
Euro vs USD
-1% YTD ↘
(weakening)
The Naked Truth: Germany's barely growing at 0.3%—expensive energy and weak China demand are killing manufacturing. ECB cutting rates to help, but unemployment's rising. Germany's struggles drag down all of Europe since it's the continent's engine.
🇬🇧
United Kingdom
Economic Weather
Cloudy
Macroeconomic
GDP Growth
0.8% ↗
(improving)
Inflation (CPI)
3.2% ↘
(falling)
Unemployment
4.2% →
(stable)
BoE Rate
4.75% ↘
(being cut)
Markets
FTSE 100
+4% YTD ↗
(rising)
10-Year Gilt
4.5% ↘
(falling)
Pound vs USD
+1% YTD ↗
(strengthening)
The Naked Truth: UK economy's finding its footing with 0.8% growth. Inflation falling to 3.2% but still above the 2% target, keeping rates elevated. Post-Brexit adjustment continues. The key question: can growth accelerate without reigniting inflation?
🇫🇷
France
Economic Weather
Cloudy
Macroeconomic
GDP Growth
1.1% ↗
(rising)
Inflation (CPI)
2.7% ↘
(cooling)
Unemployment
7.4% ↘
(improving)
ECB Rate
3.0% ↘
(being cut)
Markets
CAC 40
+6% YTD ↗
(rising)
10-Year OAT
3.1% ↘
(falling)
Euro vs USD
-1% YTD ↘
(weakening)
The Naked Truth: France seeing moderate 1.1% growth, unemployment falling. Government balancing fiscal discipline with economic support. ECB rate cuts helping. CAC 40 up 6% shows confidence, though budget deficit concerns linger politically.
🇨🇦
Canada
Economic Weather
Cloudy
Macroeconomic
GDP Growth
1.5% ↘
(slowing)
Inflation (CPI)
2.4% ↘
(falling)
Unemployment
5.8% ↗
(rising)
BoC Rate
4.25% ↘
(being cut)
Markets
TSX
+3% YTD ↗
(rising)
10-Year Canada
3.4% ↘
(falling)
CAD vs USD
-2% YTD ↘
(weakening)
The Naked Truth: Canada's cooling—growth slowing to 1.5%, unemployment rising. High household debt and expensive housing weighing on consumers. Bank of Canada cutting rates to support growth. Loonie weaker makes imports pricier. Fortunes tied to US economy.
🇪🇺
European Union
Economic Weather
Stormy
Macroeconomic
GDP Growth
0.5% →
(weak)
Inflation (CPI)
2.4% ↘
(cooling)
Unemployment
6.5% →
(stable)
ECB Rate
3.0% ↘
(being cut)
Markets
STOXX 600
+3% YTD ↗
(modest gains)
10-Year Bund
2.5% ↘
(falling)
Euro vs USD
-1% YTD ↘
(weakening)
The Naked Truth: Eurozone struggling with weak 0.5% growth—Germany's slowdown and high energy costs weighing on the bloc. ECB cutting rates to stimulate. Weaker euro helps exports but makes energy imports expensive. Challenge: revive growth without reigniting inflation.
🤖
Economic Assistant
No jargon, just truth